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🇺🇸 US SPOT CRYPTO ETFs FLOWS REPORT (24 August - 28 August) US Crypto Spot ETFs Saw ~$2.07 Billion Net InFlows Last Week ➔ BlackRock ETF BOUGHT ~11,944 Bitcoin And 2,59,576 Ethereum ➔ Fidelity ETF BOUGHT ~811 Bitcoin And 39,013 Ethereum ➔ Bitwise ETF SOLD ~192 Bitcoin And BOUGHT 924 Ethereum ➔ Grayscale ETF BOUGHT 58 Bitcoin And 26,191 Ethereum ➔ VanEck ETF SOLD ~51 Bitcoin And BOUGHT 1,827 Ethereum ➔ ARK 21Shares ETF SOLD ~1,054 Bitcoin BOUGHT 1,106 Ethereum ➔ Morgan Stanley ETF BOUGHT ~319 Bitcoin And 6,880 Ethereum ➔ Franklin ETF BOUGHT ~369 Ethereum $BTC ETFs Inflow: +$924.48M (+11,830 BTC) $ETH ETFs Inflow: +$824.42M (+3,35,886 ETH) $XRP ETFs Inflow: +$110.49M (+75.87M XRP) $HYPE ETFs Inflow: +$56.86M (+698.6K HYPE) $SOL ETFs Inflow: +$153.87M (+1.42M SOL) $LINK ETFs Inflow: +$3.69M $HBAR ETFs Inflow: +$863.98K $DOGE ETFs Inflow: +$146.02K $LTC ETFs Outflow: -$239.03K Last Week Zero Flows: $DOT, $BNB, $AVAX Last week, US Bitcoin Spot ETFs BOUGHT ~11,830 BTC (~26 days of mined supply), while US Ethereum Spot ETFs BOUGHT ~3,35,886 ETH.

$BTC $ETH $SOL ETH ​Market Snapshot: $2,456.30 (+0.74%) | 24h High: $2,467.98 | 24h Low: $2,430.50 ​Technical Summary: Steadying after a pullback, trading above MA5 ($2,449.52) and MA10 ($2,447.01) while facing near-term resistance at MA20 ($2,474.52). ​Next Steps: A breakout above MA20 ($2,474.52) can clear the path toward $2,566.88. Falling below $2,430.50 risks exposure to lower support at $2,307.42.

THE MACRO & RISK TAPE New Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole debut. Expect a "say less, let data react" framework, not a September roadmap. With CME pricing a 63.5% hold probability, the risk is asymmetrical: a hawkish tone will slam rate-sensitive equities and long-duration tech, while a dovish pivot fuels a bond rally. Key Trade: Brace for long-end yield and DXY whipsaw. Geopolitical Floor: Washington's refusal to return to the June Iran deal leaves the Hormuz stalemate intact. This puts a hard floor under WTI ($82.87) and Brent ($87.85), ensuring the "sticky inflation" narrative remains a structural bid for gold. DIGITAL ASSETS: THE $80K BATTLEGROUND BTC / USDT ($78,182): The 8-day ETF inflow streak ($2.8B cumulative) bought the dip, but price is currently stalling below the psychological $80k mark. Liquidity Map: The liquidation landscape is a knife's edge. Significant short-squeeze pressure is clustered in the $81k–$82k zone a sustained break there triggers violent upside. Conversely, long liquidations are stacked at $78.5k–$80k. Losing $78.5k flips the market into a leveraged-long cascade. Alt Beta: ETH ($2,458) is lagging BTC, and SOL ($105) shows relative weakness. Capital is favoring hard-asset (debasement trade) beta over altcoin beta. TRUMP/USDT (-9.14%) shows high-risk meme capital is being aggressively purged. US EQUITIES: NARROW & CONCENTRATED Index Reality Check: The tape is mega-cap driven. The S&P (+0.72%) and Nasdaq (+1.57%) are elevated solely by NVDA's +8.74% spike (~$440B market cap add). Breadth is terrible—equal-weight indices are flat. The AI Engine: NVDA’s FY28 guidance of ~70% growth (despite supply constraints) completely repaired the AI capex narrative. The Trade: Look for beta follow-through in storage, optical comms, and AI-power. Software Repair: CRM (+1.82%) and CRWD (+20% prior session) are proving AI monetization is hitting recurring revenue, officially killing the "SaaS winter" bear case. COMMODITIES & FX: WAITING FOR WARSH Gold ($4,472): Holding elevated levels. The geopolitical stalemate + policy vacuum forces investors to hold metals as a hedge against central bank credibility loss. **Silver ($66.30): Down -4.04%. This is a major divergence from Gold; industrial demand fears are dragging silver while Gold holds its risk premium. DXY (99.12): Flat to slightly higher. Options traders are refusing to add heavy USD shorts ahead of the keynote. THE PROFESSIONAL PLAYBOOK 1. Macro: Trade Warsh as an event-driven volatility catalyst. Don't hold naked long-dated calls into 22:00 UTC+8. 2. Crypto: Watch $81k closely. If BTC rejects it, fades to $78.5k, and long liquidations trigger, the ETF inflows won't be enough to save the local high. 3. Commodities: Crude remains rangebound with a geopolitical bid. Stay long Gold, avoid Silver until the industrial demand picture clears. 4. Equities: Stay flexible on high-valuation growth stocks. The Nvidia move is done; the alpha is now in the software/services layer (CRM) and energy/power constraints. The liquidity maps are the ultimate truth right now. Follow the $80k BTC pivot and the $81k short-squeeze trigger, but do not fight the Fed narrative tonight. $BTC $rNVDA $XAUT

Ethereum is trading around $2,538, extending its recovery from the $2,240–$2,300 demand zone. Price has broken above the recent consolidation structure and reclaimed the major EMA structure, signaling a strong shift in short-term momentum. ETH has now pushed back above the 0.236 Fibonacci level around $2,315 and is trading above the previous consolidation resistance. However, price is approaching a major resistance cluster around $2,534–$2,600, where sellers could attempt to defend the broader downtrend. A sustained breakout above this region could open the path toward the $2,784.60 0.382 Fibonacci level. 📈 EMA Structure 20 EMA: $2,282.80 50 EMA: $2,089.75 100 EMA: $2,030.77 200 EMA: $2,159.81 ETH is trading above all four major EMAs, with price significantly above the 200 EMA at $2,159.81. This remains a constructive development for the recovery structure. As long as ETH holds above the $2,280–$2,160 EMA zone, buyers maintain the advantage. A sustained move back below the 200 EMA would weaken the current bullish setup and could indicate that the recent breakout is losing momentum. 📐 Fibonacci & Market Structure Key Fibonacci levels: 0.236: $2,315.21 0.382: $2,784.60 0.5: $3,163.97 0.618: $3,543.34 0.786: $4,083.46 1.0: $4,771.47 ETH has recovered strongly from the $2,240–$2,300 accumulation zone and has now broken above its recent range. The chart shows a clear MSS/BOS-style bullish shift, with price breaking through multiple internal resistance levels and reclaiming the major EMA structure. The key area to monitor now is $2,534–$2,600. A clean daily close above this zone would provide stronger confirmation for bullish continuation. 🟢 Bullish Scenario A confirmed breakout and daily close above $2,534–$2,600 could open the way toward: $2,700–$2,750 $2,784.60 — 0.382 Fibonacci $3,163.97 — 0.5 Fibonacci $3,543.34 — 0.618 Fibonacci $4,083.46 — 0.786 Fibonacci $4,771.47 — 1.0 Fibonacci The $2,534–$2,600 region is the first major breakout confirmation zone. If ETH successfully reclaims and holds above $2,600, momentum could accelerate toward $2,700–$2,785. A successful reclaim of $2,784.60 would significantly strengthen the higher-timeframe structure and could shift attention toward $3,163.97 → $3,543.34. 🔴 Bearish Scenario Important supports are concentrated around: $2,459.13 $2,447.85 $2,406.67 $2,405.75 $2,370.85 $2,358.59 $2,297.55 $2,282.80 — 20 EMA $2,159.81 — 200 EMA If ETH fails to sustain the breakout above $2,534–$2,600 and faces rejection, the first important support zone is around $2,460–$2,405. A decisive loss of $2,405–$2,370 would weaken the immediate bullish structure and could bring $2,358 → $2,297 back into focus. A deeper breakdown below the $2,280–$2,160 EMA zone would significantly weaken the broader recovery structure. 🧠 ICT / Market Structure ETH has shown a strong structural recovery after establishing a major low around the $2,240–$2,300 region. The recent consolidation created a base, followed by an impulsive breakout through multiple internal resistance levels. The chart also shows a bullish MSS/BOS-style move as buyers reclaimed the previous range. The $2,400–$2,460 region is now particularly important. If ETH experiences a pullback and successfully holds this area, it could act as a potential demand/retest zone. A breakout followed by a successful retest of $2,447–$2,459 would provide stronger confirmation for bullish continuation. Conversely, rejection from $2,534–$2,600 followed by a loss of $2,405–$2,370 would suggest that ETH may need another accumulation phase before attempting another breakout. 📊 RSI Momentum RSI (14): 70.84 RSI has moved into the overbought region, confirming strong bullish momentum. However, an overbought RSI does not automatically mean an immediate reversal. Strong trends can remain overbought while price continues higher. Still, after the recent sharp move, the probability of a short-term pullback or consolidation has increased. A pullback that holds above $2,405–$2,370 would keep the bullish structure healthy. 🎯 Key Levels 🔴 Resistance $2,534.35 $2,600 $2,700–$2,750 $2,784.60 — 0.382 Fibonacci $3,163.97 — 0.5 Fibonacci $3,543.34 — 0.618 Fibonacci $4,083.46 — 0.786 Fibonacci $4,771.47 — 1.0 Fibonacci 🟢 Support $2,459.13 $2,447.85 $2,406.67 $2,405.75 $2,370.85 $2,358.59 $2,297.55 $2,282.80 — 20 EMA $2,159.81 — 200 EMA 📌 Final Outlook ETH has shifted into a strong bullish short-term structure, breaking out from its multi-month consolidation and reclaiming all four major EMA levels. The immediate battle is now around $2,534–$2,600. A confirmed breakout above $2,600 could open the path toward $2,700 → $2,784.60 → $3,163.97. However, with RSI around 70.84, ETH is already technically overbought in the short term, so a pullback or consolidation should not be ruled out. As long as ETH holds above $2,405–$2,370, the bullish recovery remains constructive. Losing $2,297–$2,280 would weaken the structure, while a deeper loss of the $2,159.81 200 EMA would significantly increase downside risk. Bias: Bullish above $2,370, with $2,600 as the key breakout level and $2,784.60 as the first major upside target. Recent market commentary also shows ETH consolidating around the $2.4K–$2.5K region after its strong rally, making the $2.5K area an important near-term battle zone. $ETH

$ETH probability long signal target 2488