ANALYSIS: Powell's speech seen as signal no rate cuts until November
In his testimony before the Senate, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell did not send any signals about when the Fed might start cutting interest rates, saying instead that the decision would be made "meeting by meeting". But this could be a sign that rate cuts will not come as quickly as the market digested. Stephen Stanley, chief U.S. economist at Santander Capital Markets, said Fed officials usually let the market prepare for the next move. Powell's comments on a "meeting-by-meeting" basis certainly seem to rule out a rate cut at the next meeting in July, and a rate cut in September doesn't seem as certain to me as financial markets are currently pricing in. I currently expect the Fed to cut rates for the first time in November.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Under continuous pressure from inflation and interest rate hike concerns, US Treasury sell-off intensifies; 30-year yield once surpassed 5.6%, hitting a more than 24-year high
U.S. long-term Treasury yields continued to rise on Tuesday, extending the recent sharp upward trend.
The US releases the final batch of strategic oil reserves, up to 40 million barrels, urging Europe to follow suit.
This is the final batch of the 172 million barrels of reserves released by the United States in this round; after this release, the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve will drop to its lowest level since 1982, approaching legal and operational red lines. Meanwhile, the U.S. Secretary of Energy criticized some European countries for releasing far less than expected, urging them to fulfill their commitments. Currently, gasoline and diesel prices in the U.S. remain high, and less than two months remain until the midterm elections. On Tuesday, WTI crude oil futures fell by 3.95%.
Raphael Zagury: Bitcoin will eventually surpass gold
Federal Reserve Bowman: AI Brings Both Opportunities and Risks to the Banking Industry, Fed Urges Strengthening of System Security Protections
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision, Bowman, warned that AI has a dual impact on the banking industry, serving both as a defensive tool and introducing new emerging risks. She urged banks to strengthen basic cybersecurity measures, including updating asset inventories, deploying multi-factor authentication, and improving vulnerability management. Bowman also stated that regulators will continue to adjust their examination approaches, implementing differentiated supervision for community banks instead of imposing blanket mandatory requirements.