The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 95.3%.

CME Federal Reserve observations show that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in August is 95.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates until September is 1.9%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 93.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 4.6%.