ING: Inflation expectations may push US Treasury yields to around 4.3% in Q2

金十2026/03/04 07:23

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Golden Ten Data reported on March 4 that ING interest rate strategists Padhraic Garvey and Michiel Tukker stated in their report that although risk aversion may temporarily drive government bond yields lower, overall yields are likely to rise in the second quarter due to the narrative of higher inflation. The analysts pointed out that government bond yields have already risen this week because investors are focusing on inflationary pressures that may arise from the Middle East conflict. ING noted that it does not rule out the possibility of the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly falling below 4%. However, "Looking ahead to the second quarter, we expect the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield to rebound to around 4.3% (a level that persisted in January this year)," they added. This also means that the German 10-year government bond yield may rebound to around 2.9%.

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