Polymarket's "Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by the end of March" trading volume continues to surge, YES probability drops to 2%
Odaily Seer channel monitoring shows that in the prediction event "Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire before March 31, 2026," the probability of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by the end of March has dropped to 2%. The market's 24-hour trading volume is about $355,000, and the total trading volume has reached $24.726 millions.
The probability of this event once rose, but has continued to decline this month, while trading volume keeps expanding. Based on current market pricing, mainstream traders still regard a short-term ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine as a highly unlikely event.
Odaily Seer channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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