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Ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision: The probability of keeping rates unchanged at this meeting is 98.9%.

Ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision: The probability of keeping rates unchanged at this meeting is 98.9%.

Odaily星球日报Odaily星球日报2026/03/18 17:56
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According to CME "FedWatch" reported by Odaily, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points at this meeting is 0%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.9%, and the probability of raising rates by 25 basis points is 1.1%. By April, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 2.0%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 1.0%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 16.3%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 82.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 0.9%.

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