Rabobank: The US Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice in 2026, once in September and once in December.
ChainCatcher news, according to Golden Ten Data, Philip Marey, Senior US Strategist at Rabobank, pointed out that despite the upward revision of inflation and growth expectations, the FOMC still expects one rate cut in 2026. The bank now expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates once in September and once in December, which is fewer than the previous expectation of three rate cuts. Rabobank warns that further escalation of the Iran conflict could lead to a further reduction in its forecast for rate cuts in 2026.
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According to data from the US Department of the Treasury, in the 12 months ending July this year, overseas investors made net purchases of US stocks totaling $942 billion, marking the highest rolling 12-month total since records began in 1985. The net purchases in the second quarter alone reached $426 billion, setting a new single-quarter record. Meanwhile, overseas demand for US Treasuries has noticeably cooled, with purchase volumes falling significantly. As a result, the US is facing higher costs in government debt financing.
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