Strategist: Energy price shocks penetrate the European Central Bank's "comfort zone," short-term interest rate volatility will intensify
Golden Ten Data reported on March 19 that global derivatives strategist Tanvir Sandhu pointed out that the energy price shock is rapidly penetrating into the "comfort zone" in the eyes of the European Central Bank, injecting renewed volatility into short-term interest rates. Even if the European Central Bank ultimately keeps rates unchanged this year, it is reasonable for the market to price in a broader range of outcomes due to the uncertainty surrounding the duration of the conflict and the associated upside risks to inflation. Moreover, the secondary effects on economic growth may lead to an asymmetric risk of interest rates tending downward.
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