Technical Analysis: Gold Needs to Hold Above $4,600 to Continue Rally, MACD and RSI Maintain Bullish Signals
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- From a technical perspective, an intraday breakout above the 100-hour moving average at 4,530 can be seen as a key trigger for bullish traders. However, the subsequent rally stalled near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the decline (around $4,600). Gold needs to strengthen above this level to provide support for further gains.
- The MACD histogram remains positive, with its line above the signal line, reinforcing the uptrend. The RSI hovers at a high level above 60, indicating strong but not extreme bullish momentum, allowing buyers to maintain control during intraday pullbacks.
- A sustained breakout and hold above $4,600 will once again confirm a constructive outlook, paving the way toward $4,637 (the next upward target) and even the $4,750 mid-range (near the 50% Fibonacci retracement level). Support below is at the 20-period moving average at $4,470, with stronger support expected near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $4,408.
- If the price falls below $4,408, the current bullish trend will be weakened and could retrace to the $4,250–$4,300 area. As long as the above support levels hold, the intraday upward trend can be maintained.
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