Market Prices Zero Probability of Fed Rate Cuts Before March 2027
On March 27, the latest pricing from the CME FedWatch Tool and interest rate futures indicates that the market has completely ruled out the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates before March 2027, with the earliest potential rate cut now pushed to April 2027. This extreme pricing stems from the strong hawkish signals released during the Fed's March 19 meeting and concerns over rising inflation due to geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East.
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