Analysts Warn: Gold May Face a Deeper Pullback and Possibly Fall Toward $3,800
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- Technical analysis expert and ElliottWaveTrader founder Avi Gilburt stated that the unprecedented correction in gold is not over yet. He sees two different technical paths that could ultimately push the price of the precious metal below $4,000 per ounce, approaching $3,800—a further drop of 20% from current levels.
- The first path is a decline after prices encounter resistance near current levels; the second path is more dangerous—gold prices could first break through the $4,800 resistance level, briefly surging to $5,200, and then trigger a deeper correction. “Higher prices will make everyone believe the correction is over, but in reality, it will have just begun.”
- As for silver, Gilburt believes that as long as the price stays below the March high, it faces downside risk toward $53.50. However, he emphasized that for long-term investors, silver has significant investment value below $60, and any price below $60 in the next decade represents a great buying opportunity.
- Gilburt pointed out that the current market structure is similar to the 2011 peak in precious metals, and how prices perform after the adjustment will determine whether history repeats itself. He is also optimistic about mining stocks, believing they could outperform the underlying metals in the next rally. As for oil prices, he expects they could rise further in the short term but may fall below $50 later this year.
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