The Polymarket Probability of "Hormuz Strait to Close in April" Rises to 31%
BlockBeats News, April 7th, data shows that the probability on Polymarket of "The Suez Canal will close in April" has steadily increased since hitting a low of 12% on April 2nd, and is now at 31%.
The rule states that if the International Monetary Fund Port Observations (IMF PortWatch) 7-day moving average of Suez Canal transit ship arrivals is less than or equal to 10 on any day between the market creation date and the listed date, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
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