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When will the US stock market’s AI bull run end? Strategists predict a further 75% increase by 2030, followed by a long-term bear market.

When will the US stock market’s AI bull run end? Strategists predict a further 75% increase by 2030, followed by a long-term bear market.

格隆汇格隆汇2026/05/13 02:43
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Glonghui, May 13 — A chief strategist on Wall Street has warned that in the early part of the next decade, US stocks may experience a brutal decline. Mary Ann Bartels, Chief Investment Strategist at the well-known US wealth management platform Sanctuary Wealth, which manages $5.8 billion in assets, recently stated, the S&P 500 Index will enter a long-term bear market in 2030, marking the beginning of a 20-year cycle, during which stock returns will be close to zero. However, Bartels noted, she expects the S&P 500 Index to see a “stunning” rally before officially entering the bear market. She estimates that by 2030, the S&P 500 Index could climb to 10,000–13,000 points. This means the S&P 500 Index could rise up to 75% from the current level. On Tuesday, the index fell 0.16% to close at 7,400.96, pulling back from its record high, as inflation data exceeded expectations and the US-Iran ceasefire agreement became increasingly fragile, prompting investors to take profits as a strong Q1 earnings season drew to a close.
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