Australian Dollar: 0.7070 support in focus against USD – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts highlight that AUD/USD has pulled back toward its 50-day moving average after an interim high near 0.7280. Softer Australia Consumer Price Index (CPI) and weaker employment have reduced odds of further Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hikes, leaving support at 0.7070 and resistance around 0.7220–0.7280, with a breach of support risking a deeper decline toward 0.6975 and 0.6850/0.6830.
Key 50-day average under scrutiny
"AUD/USD has pulled back toward the 50-DMA after carving out an interim high near 0.7280 in May."
"It will be important to observe whether the pair can hold above this moving average. The recent pivot low of 0.7070 is the first support."
"A breach of this could trigger a deeper decline toward the next projection at 0.6975 and perhaps even towards the lower limit of a multi-month channel at 0.6850/0.6830."
"The recent pivot high of 0.7280 is a near-term hurdle."
"Spot mildly offered after below forecast April CPI dims RBA hike prospects. Support 0.7070, resistance 0.7220."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
"Calm" Becomes the New Normal for Forex Markets: Selling Volatility and Engaging in Carry Trades, but Institutions Warn of Potential "Time Bombs"
The "nothing will happen" mode is becoming the new normal for foreign exchange traders.
Bitcoin weathers September storm as rate hikes and Clarity act setback test bulls
Continuous mineralization over 905 meters! Auro Metals gold and copper resource potential is further confirmed, phase II drilling empowers long-term growth
Auro Metals Inc. has announced another major exploration breakthrough, with the first phase of drilling at the Santa Barbara copper-gold mine yielding further breakthrough results.
JP Morgan: Raising interest rates is not enough to end the US stock market rally; long-term rates, fiscal policies, and geopolitics are the real risks
J.P. Morgan believes that an interest rate hike does not signify the end of the bullish logic for US stocks, as AI capital expenditures and corporate profits can still support the equity market. However, fiscal deficits, bond supply, and geopolitical risks will continue to drive up long-term interest rates. The real concern is the rapid approach of the 10-year US Treasury yield to 5.5%-6%, at which point high-valuation growth stocks could face significantly increased pressure.
