Analyst Says XRP Could Reach $1 If Bitcoin Bottoms At This Price

Bitcoin’s price history follows a rhythm that rarely breaks, according to crypto commentator Levi Rietveld. In a recent video, he laid out the four-year cycle that has defined every major Bitcoin run since 2011, then used it to make a specific call on XRP.

The Four-Year Cycle

Rietveld traced Bitcoin’s first major run from 2011 through mid-2013, when prices climbed steadily before the coin eventually hit $1,000. The bear market that followed pulled Bitcoin down toward $100.

A similar bull run came next, ending around 2018, before another drawdown set in. He said each bull cycle tends to run about 2 years, while bear cycles last between 12 and 14 months. The shortest one, he noted, lasted closer to 11 months.

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A Familiar Pattern

Every cycle has repeated this same shape, Rietveld said. Bitcoin’s worst bear market erased 90% of its value, a low he placed at the 2015 cycle bottom. He described the current downturn as milder by comparison. Bitcoin has dropped close to 50% from its highs this cycle, well short of that historic worst-case scenario. Rietveld called this a fortunate outcome, as investors can now accumulate more easily.

A Possible Bottom For XRP

Rietveld estimated Bitcoin could bottom near $50,000 in this cycle. At that level, he said XRP would likely trade around $1, possibly a little lower. He treated this point in the cycle as a buying opportunity, saying “not buying now is probably a huge mistake” in his view.

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He also tied the bottom to a timeline. Based on the typical length of past bear markets, Rietveld estimated the current cycle could find its floor within the next 4 months. Other analysts have set even deeper targets of $28,000 for BTC and $0.6 for XRP. Many market participants expect the downturn to continue for some time before a reversal.

The Bigger Picture

Rietveld’s outlook ties XRP’s price directly to Bitcoin’s broader trajectory rather than treating it as an independent move. If Bitcoin bottoms near $50,000, his framework points to roughly $1 for XRP at that same moment.

Rietveld presented both as the likely outcome of a cycle that has repeated itself with consistency since 2011. Whether the next 4 months confirm that pattern will determine if his call holds up against the same cyclical logic he used to build it.