British Pound holds firm as the US sanctions on Iran loom
The Pound Sterling holds firm against the US Dollar at around 1.3640, with traders eyeing speeches by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Iran’s sanctions and by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at the Kansas City Fed Jackson Hole Symposium. The GBP/USD trades near its opening price, barely unchanged.
GBP/USD steadies as Dollar gains on renewed geopolitical risk
Developments over the weekend keep the Grenback bid. US Treasury Secretary Bessent wrote an article in the Financial Times, warning Tehran that an economic D-Day is coming and stating that countries linked to the regime could face retaliation by Washington.
Bessent is expected to delve deeper into Iran at a press conference, followed by a Q&A session, at around 1700 GMT.
Iran’s answer to Bessent column was that “If the economic war continues, not a single drop of oil will be exported٫ neither through the Strait of Hormuz nor from anywhere in the Persian Gulf.”
In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s value against a basket of six currencies, is up 0.15% at 98.98, capping Sterling’s advance.
On Monday, the US economic docket is absent, but it will gather pace on Tuesday, with housing data and the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence. On Wednesday, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures are eyed, along with Durable Goods Orders, followed the next day by the Fed’s inflation gauge, the Core PCE
On Friday, traders will digest Warsh’s speech, which is not expected to provide forward guidance, regarding interest rates. However, if he updates his economic status, he could perhaps provide some clues about the economic outlook.
In the UK, Prime Minister Andy Burnham told European Council President, Antonio Costa, that Great Britain will be bolder in closing ties with the European Union
In the meantime, the GBP/USD appreciated in the short term, even though investors see no chance for a rate hike by the Bank of England at the September meeting. The odds are 78% of holding rates, but for the December meeting, the chances are also 78% of a 25-basis-point increase, revealed Prime Terminal.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
In the daily chart, GBP/USD trades at 1.3634, extending its advance above the cluster of reclaimed trend lines and the simple moving average triple around 1.3400, which now underpin a bullish near-term bias. The pair holds comfortably over the upward support lines drawn from 1.3159 and 1.3140, while the Relative Strength Index (14) at 69.3 flirts with overbought territory, suggesting strong but potentially stretched upside momentum rather than immediate exhaustion.
On the downside, initial support aligns near 1.3622 at the more recent rising trend line, ahead of a broader demand band between the reclaimed downward line at 1.3493 and the former resistance trend break at 1.3400, reinforced by the simple moving average cluster at 1.3399 and the older upward support trend around 1.3382. With no well-defined resistance levels in the immediate data set, the pair would likely remain constructive as long as it holds above this layered support zone, though overbought daily momentum warns that any pullback could first test these trend and moving average floors.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
AI demand drives TSMC to accelerate capacity expansion, 2nm monthly production aims for 120,000 wafers by year-end
According to reports, industry giants such as Apple, Nvidia, and AMD have collectively increased their orders by 10% to 20%, directly boosting TSMC's 2nm monthly production capacity to 120,000 wafers by the end of the year, which exceeds the previous estimate by more than 20% and brings forward the 2027 target by two years. For the first time in history, five factories will ramp up production simultaneously, and the annual compound growth rate of capacity from 2026 to 2028 will reach as high as 70%.
Long-term US Treasury Sell-off Continues! 10-Year Treasury Yield Breaks 5.2% Again, “AI Boom vs. Rising Financing Costs” Narrative Showdown Intensifies
On Monday, oil prices rose and US Treasury bonds were sold off again as former US President Donald Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, heightening concerns about inflation.
Banks Have Been Earning Effortlessly from Idle Funds for Years—Will AI Agents Change Everything?
For years, banks have profited from customers' idle funds, but AI agents may be about to change this situation.
Goldman Sachs: US stocks are showing a "strong index, weak confidence" pattern; catch-up rally may become the main theme of the next phase
Goldman Sachs stated that the current U.S. stock market is showing an unusual pattern: while index performance is strong, investor confidence remains weak. This suggests that the market still has further upside potential, and stocks that previously lagged behind leading AI stocks may soon experience a catch-up rally.
Crypto prices
More
