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Chicago Fed Activity Index Pulls Back in July -- WSJ

Chicago Fed Activity Index Pulls Back in July -- WSJ

Dow JonesDow Jones2026/08/24 16:47

By Shradha Dinesh

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index fell to a minus 0.08 in July, down from 0.06 in June. The shift points to an economy expanding at a below-average pace.

The oft-called "Goldilocks" index tracks how far the economy strays from its historical trend line, centered around a benchmark of zero ("just right"). Scores above zero indicate above-average growth, while negative readings show the economy is growing below trend.

The number represents a weighted average of 85 economic indicators classified into four groups.

July's weakness was primarily driven by the personal consumption and housing group, which swung to a minus 0.09 contribution after adding 0.04 the previous month.

Thirty-seven indicators improved from June to July, and 48 indicators fell.

This item is part of a Wall Street Journal live coverage event. The full stream can be found by searching P/WSJL (WSJ Live Coverage).

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

August 24, 2026 12:47 ET (16:47 GMT)

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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