Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesStocksEarnInstitutionAI & More
Morgan Stanley once again recommends shorting the euro against the Swiss franc as eurozone risks rise

Morgan Stanley once again recommends shorting the euro against the Swiss franc as eurozone risks rise

智通财经智通财经2026/10/07 15:06
Show original

Morgan Stanley strategists have once again recommended shorting the euro against the Swiss franc, betting that rising risk aversion and higher risk premiums on eurozone assets will weigh on the euro. In a research note published Wednesday, David Adams, Koichi Sugisaki, Andrew Watrous, and Alexander Scholefield wrote that shorting EUR/CHF can serve as a hedge against “further increases in fiscal and political risk premiums” and the risk that the ECB turns more dovish in response to bond market volatility. The strategists stated: “Although the market is highly focused on widening interest rate differentials, the increase in euro risk premiums has not been significant.” The report also mentioned that the Swiss National Bank’s concern about CHF appreciation is a risk factor for the EUR/CHF short trade and could push the currency pair higher. The strategists suggested shorting EUR/CHF with a target of 0.90 and a stop loss at 0.96. The firm continues to recommend shorting EUR/CHF, expecting the euro to generally weaken against most currencies. The strategists believe EUR/CHF is likely to continue its downward trend, though technical and positioning factors indicate that some short-term consolidation may occur.

Morgan Stanley strategists have once again recommended shorting the euro against the Swiss franc, betting that rising risk aversion and an increase in risk premiums on Eurozone assets will weigh on the euro. In a Wednesday research note, David Adams, Koichi Sugisaki, Andrew Watrous, and Alexander Scholefield wrote that shorting EUR/CHF can hedge against "a further rise in fiscal and political risk premiums," as well as the risk that the European Central Bank may turn more dovish in its pricing due to bond market volatility. The strategists stated: "Although the market is highly focused on widening interest rate differentials, the increase in the euro's risk premium is not substantial." The report mentioned that concerns from the Swiss National Bank about the franc's appreciation are a risk factor for this EUR/CHF short trade and could push the pair higher. The strategists recommend shorting EUR/CHF with a target of 0.90 and a stop-loss at 0.96. The bank continues to recommend shorting EUR/CHF, expecting the euro to broadly weaken against most currencies. The strategists said that EUR/CHF is likely to continue its downward trend, but technicals and positioning suggest a possible short-term consolidation.
0
0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

Understand the market, then trade.
Bitget offers one-stop trading for cryptocurrencies, stocks, and gold.
Trade now!

You may also like

Crude oil rises to $93.1 per barrel, reaching a nearly one-month high

(1) On Thursday, international crude oil prices reached $93.1 per barrel, hitting a near one-month high as supply disruption risks intensified. (2) The White House has asked the Pentagon to draw up strike plans against Iran, which could be implemented before the midterm elections; on Wednesday, the US President stated that he will no longer seek an agreement with Iran. (3) Incidents of shipping attacks have increased in the Gulf region and the Strait of Hormuz, and the Houthi armed group has intensified its attacks on Saudi Arabia, further raising geopolitical risks and crude oil risk premiums. (4) Tropical Storm Isaias is approaching the Gulf of Mexico, prompting companies such as Chevron and Shell to cut production and evacuate offshore platform personnel, thus providing support to oil prices. (5) According to the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, as of Wednesday, approximately 24.3% of crude oil production capacity and 15.7% of natural gas production capacity in the US Gulf of Mexico have been halted due to the storm.

智通财经•2026/10/08 11:06

The Nasdaq hits a new high, igniting expectations for the US stock earnings season! Citi predicts nearly 90% of tech stocks will deliver "earnings surprises," with Nvidia and AMD leading the outperformance list.

According to Zhitong Finance APP, following a record high achieved by the Nasdaq Composite Index and a new all-time high for Nvidia, the "AI chip superpower" that holds significant weight in both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indexes, the U.S. stock market is about to kick off its Q3 earnings season. Global investors are becoming increasingly enthusiastic about the possibility that U.S. companies’ revenue and profits will exceed expectations, especially among tech giants closely associated with AI computing power, whose performance may surpass analysts' forecasts.

智通财经•2026/10/08 10:56

Porsche plans to increase the average price of its top models by about 20% before 2030.

Porsche plans to increase the average price of its most expensive models by about 20% by 2030, emulating Ferrari’s strategy of boosting profits by enhancing product exclusivity. On Wednesday, Porsche CEO Oliver Blume announced during an Investor Day event a multi-year revitalization plan aimed at reviving performance by reducing vehicle sales and shifting toward higher-end models. Blume stated: “We want to further elevate our brand positioning, maintain Porsche’s uniqueness, and enhance our pricing power.” By 2030, the average price of Porsche’s top models will rise from around €270,000 this year to more than €330,000. Meanwhile, the share of top models in its product portfolio is expected to increase from roughly one-third to 45%. Blume’s strategy will significantly reduce Porsche’s business scale, lowering the number of vehicles required for profitability to under 200,000 units. On Wednesday, Porsche maintained its targets of achieving a 10% to 15% operating profit margin and a maximum net cash flow margin for its automotive business of up to 12% by 2030. The company also plans to reach a 15% profit margin by 2035.

智通财经•2026/10/08 10:56

Brent crude oil main futures contract surpasses $105 per barrel, up 4.07% intraday

The main contract of Brent crude oil futures has just surpassed the $105.00 per barrel mark, last trading at $105.01 per barrel, up 4.07% on the day.

智通财经•2026/10/08 10:46