U.S. Election 2024 Commentary
What an incredibly eventful day! Just a few more votes for Trump, and the 2024 presidency is pretty much decided. Trump has maintained a lead in the polls from the start, and now it all hinges on Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin. With over half the votes counted in these states, the scales are tipping toward Trump.
The dollar surged 1.2% to reach July highs of 105, with yields also climbing as markets anticipate stronger economic growth and increased fiscal spending. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by 15 basis points, while the 2-year added 8 basis points, signaling heightened investor expectations. Despite expectations for a decrease in rate cut probabilities due to Trump’s “friendlier” proposed policies, the market is still pricing in 1.8 cuts this year and 3 more cuts next year.
The crypto market has been on fire with BTC hitting all-time high of 75k after touching its previous record of 73.5k, set back on March 14. Since then, BTC has traded mostly within a tight range below 70k. Notably, BTC has now navigated three election cycles since its inception in 2009, each followed by rallies to new highs, with prices never dipping back to pre-election levels. We expect this bullish momentum to hold strong as we head into 2025.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Meta (META.US) surged 36% in September: Muse validates AI strategy, market cap targets $2 trillion
Meta's stock is on track to achieve its best monthly performance since July 2013, and is only about a 1% increase away from joining the $2 trillion market cap club.
Consumption stratification intensifies, Costco remains "firmly seated in Diaoyutai"?
Is the market less confident in US Treasury bonds than before?
Up 36% in September! Meta achieves its best monthly performance since 2013, with market value approaching $2 trillion
Since September, Meta's stock price has rebounded significantly. The rapid rise of Muse has reignited market expectations for its AI commercialization. Muse reached 902,000 downloads within six days of launch and is quickly expanding into shopping, travel, and other scenarios. The market is beginning to bet that AI agents could unlock new growth opportunities beyond advertising. However, security and privacy risks, as well as high computing power costs, remain key factors in realizing these expectations.
Crypto prices
More
