Short-term holders' MVRV indicator returns to key points: historical bull start signal reappears?

CryptoChan2024/12/17 09:51

By:CryptoChan

Bitget offers one-stop trading for cryptocurrencies, stocks, and gold. Trade now!

A welcome pack worth 6200 USDT for new users! Sign up now!

CryptoChan, an on-chain analyst, observed that the MVRV (market capitalization to realized value) indicator for short-term Bitcoin holders has climbed to a key area, highly similar to the performance before the bull market started at the end of 2020. This indicator has been verified multiple times in history as an important leading signal in the early stages of the bull market.

Indicator background and details

At the end of 2020, the MVRV of short-term holders broke through the 1.5 level, marking the beginning of significant profits for short-term holders. Subsequently, the price of Bitcoin rose violently within 3-4 months, reaching a new historical high.

Current performance: Short-term MVRV has once again approached the 1.5 level, indicating that the profitability of short-term holders in the market is increasing, sentiment is gradually turning optimistic, and the market has a certain foundation of capital liquidity.

Verification of historical laws

In the early stage of the bull market in 2017, after short-term holders MVRV entered the high range, BTC price broke through the oscillation range and rose several times in a row.

At the end of 2020, a similar breakthrough started, market sentiment was high, funds accelerated inflows, and the price of Bitcoin achieved a leap from $10,000 to $60,000.

Market current signals

MVRV hits a key point: After the indicator approaches 1.5, it indicates that the profit level of short-term holders in the market is gradually increasing, indicating the potential for the start of a new trend.

On-chain liquidity enhancement: Combined with the previous fund flow (CMF) indicator, market liquidity has rebounded, and Technical Fundamentals and on-chain data have begun to resonate.

Time cycle comparison: The current market performance is surprisingly consistent with the rhythm of the end of 2020, and BTC may enter the main upward trend in the coming months.

Short-term holders' MVRV indicator returns to key points: historical bull start signal reappears? image 0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

Understand the market, then trade.

Bitget offers one-stop trading for cryptocurrencies, stocks, and gold.

Trade now！

The AI computing power competition is evolving into a system-level game encompassing interconnection and memory. According to Marvell executives, inference models have driven KV cache growth by about 10 times in nine months, and rack-level memory can no longer meet demand. Copper connections are approaching their limits, making optical interconnection and memory expansion core to computing power growth. Customization has become an industry trend, and Marvell is set to benefit from its expertise in analog SerDes, photonic fabric memory, and end-to-end customization.

华尔街见闻•2026/09/26 06:31

Which Top RWA Tokens Have the Most Real-World Use in 2026?

Coinedition•2026/09/26 05:57